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Tom McCurdy
Professor of Finance;
Bonham Chair in International Finance;
Founding Academic Director, Financial Research & Trading Lab;
Associated Fellow, CIRANO;
Research Associate, Institute for Policy Analyis
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PhD, University of London (LSE) MA, University of British Columbia BA (Hons), University of Guelph
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Positions Held
Academic Positions
| 1996-Present |
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Professor of Finance, Rotman School of Management
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| 1980-1996 |
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Queen's University
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Selected Articles and Papers
- "Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?" with John Maheu, Journal of Econometrics, Forthcoming, 2010
- "How useful are historical data for forecasting the long-run equity return distribution?" with Maheu, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27 (1), 2009, pp. 95-112
- "Modeling Foreign Exchange Rates with Jumps" with Maheu, in 'Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty', edited by D. Rapach and M. Wohar, 2008, pp. 449-475
- "Components of market risk and return" with Maheu, Journal of Financial Econometrics, 5 (4), 2007, pp. 560-590
- "News Arrival, Jump Dynamics and Volatility Components for Individual Stock Returns," with Maheu, Journal of Finance, 59 (2), 2004, pp. 755-794
- "Nonlinear Features of Realized FX Volatility," with Maheu, Review of Economics and Statistics, 84 (4) , 2002, pp. 668-681
- "Instructional Innovation: Experiential Learning," with Woodhouse, Rotman Management, Spring/Summer, 2002
- "Volatility Dynamics under Duration-Dependent Mixing," with Maheu, Journal of Empirical Finance, November, 2000, pp. 345-372
- "Identifying Bull and Bear Markets in Stock Returns," with Maheu, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, January, 2000, pp. 100-112
- "Intertemporal Risk in the Foreign Currency Futures Basis," with Morgan, Canadian Journal of Administrative Sciences, 16 (3), 1999, pp. 172-184
- "Hedging Foreign Currency Portfolios," with Gagnon and Lypny, Journal of Empirical Finance, September, 1998, pp. 197-220
- "An International Economy with Country-Specific Money and Productivity Growth Processes," with Ricketts, Canadian Journal of Economics, 28, 1995, pp. S141-S162
- "Duration Dependent Transitions in a Markov Model of U.S. GNP Growth," with Durland, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12 (3), 1994, pp. 279-288
- "Intertemporal Risk in Foreign Currency Markets," with Morgan, in The Exchange Rate and the Economy, Bank of Canada Monograph, 1993
- "Sources of Employment Growth by Occupation and Industry in Canada," with Betts, Relations Industrielles, 48 (2), 1993, pp. 285-304
- "Foreign Currency Futures Spreads and Risk Premia," with Morgan, in Rational Expectations and Efficiency in Futures Markets, edited by B. Goss, 1992
- "Single Beta Models and Currency Futures Prices," with Morgan, Economic Record, 1992, pp. 117-129
- "A Comparison of Risk-Premium Forecasts implied by Parametric versus Nonparametric Conditional Mean Estimators," with Stengos, Journal of Econometrics, 52 (1-2), 1992, pp. 225-244
- "Evidence of Risk Premiums in Foreign Currency Futures Markets," with Morgan, Review of Financial Studies, 5 (1), 1992, pp. 65-83
- "Equity Premium Puzzle," with Burnside, The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, 1992
- "Tests for a Systematic Risk Component in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Rate Parity," with Morgan, Review of Economic Studies, 58, 1991, pp. 587-602
- "Some Potential Job Displacements Associated with Computer-Based Automation in Canada," Technological Forecasting and Social Change: An International Journal, 35, 1989, pp. 299-317
- "Testing the Martingale Hypothesis in Duetsche Mark Futures with Models Specifying the Form of Heteroskedasticity," with Morgan, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 3, 1988, pp. 187-202
- "An Efficiency Frontier Model: An Analysis of the Macreoeconomic Implications of Structural Shocks," Economic Notes, 17 (3), 1988, pp. 69-94
- "Tests of the Martingale Hypothesis for Foreign Currency Futures with Time-Varying Volatility," with Morgan, International Journal of Forecasting, 3, 1987, pp. 131-148
- "Some Employment, Income and Occupational Effects of Microelectronic-Based Technical Change: A Multisectoral Simulation for Canada," Journal of Policy Modelling, 9 (2), 1987, pp. 337-365
- "The Unbiasedness Hypothesis in the Forward Exchange Market: A Specification Analysis with Application to France, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and West Germany," with Gregory, European Economic Review, 30, 1986, pp. 365-381
- "Testing the Unbiasedness Hypothesis in the Forward Foreign Exchange Market: A Specification Analysis," with Gregory, Journal of International Money and Finance, 3, 1984, pp. 357-368
- "On Testing Theories of Financial Intermediary Portfolio Selection," with Berndt and Rose, Review of Economic Studies, 47, 1980, pp. 861-873
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Academic/Professional Service
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Associate Editor, Journal of Financial Econometrics
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Steering Committee, Mathematical Finance Symposia, Fields Institute
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Extensive refereeing for thirty different international academic journals and granting agencies
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Honors/Awards
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Parliamentary Internship Fellowship, Canadian Political Science Association and House of Commons, Ottawa
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Research Prize for best paper, Northern Finance Association Meetings
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Roger Martin and Nancy Lang Award for Teaching Excellence, Rotman School of Management
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Research and Teaching Interests
Teaches courses in Financial Modeling for Trading and Risk Management, International Financial Management, and Empirical Finance. Current working papers and research projects include: forecasting the market premium for equity and the distribution of returns; the effects of jumps on volatility dynamics; estimating realized volatility; sources of intraday volatility in asset returns; long-memory components of volatility; hedging portfolios; risk management; semi-Markov models of asset return and volatility dynamics; and generalized distributions for volatility modelling.
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