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LINK 2017 Agenda

Project LINK Fall Meeting 2017

UNCTAD, Palais des Nations

October 3-5, 2017

 

*Presenters are in bold and underlined and their affiliations are in bold

 

Tuesday, 3 October, 2017

World Economic Outlook

United Nations, Pingfan Hong and Dawn Holland, UN-DESA, New York

UNCTAD, Richard Kozul-Wright, UNCTAD, Director of the Division on Globalization and Development Strategies, Geneva

OECD, David Turner, OECD, Paris 

Global Economic Policy Issues

Invited Lecture 

Protectionist dynamics: Form and consequences,Simon Evenett, University of St. Gallen

Policies to create trade and policies to diverting trade: China’s strategy to fill the former U.S. role as global trade leader, Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics, New York

Global Financial Issues

Return on foreign assets and liabilities: Can other countries replicate the exorbitant privileges of the United States? Zsolt Darvas, Bruegel, Brussels and Corvinus University, Budapest

Towards an understanding of credit cycles: do all credit booms cause crises? Ray Barrell, Dilruba Karim and Corrado Macchiarelli, Brunel University, London; and London School of Economics and Political Science, London   

Inflation forecasting and macroeconomic stabilization, Harris Dellas, Heather D. Gibson, Stephen Hall,and George S. Tavlas, Bank of Greece, Athens; and Leicester University

World commodity markets and energy modelling

Prospects for non-oil commodities, Janvier Nkurunziza, UNCTAD's Special Unit on Commodities, Geneva 

The world oil market, Robert Kaufmann, Boston University 

Agricultural commodities, William Meyers, University of Missouri, Columbia (Mo.)

Wednesday, 4 October, 2017

US Outlook, Dawn Holland, UN-DESA, New York   

ILO Outlook, Stefan Kuhn, ILO, Geneva

Designing fan charts for GDP growth forecasts to reflect downturn risks, (Paper)  (Slides) David Turner, OECD, Paris

                                                                                       

Policy Responses to Commodity Market Crises

Commodity price cycles and policy reactions in small dependent economies, Joaquin Vial and Alberto Naudon, Central Bank of Chile, Santiago

R&D investments and commodity booms, Roberto Álvarez, Sebastián Vergara  and Juan M. Wlasiuk, Central Bank of Chile, Santiago; and  UN-DESA, New York

Commodity connectedness, Francis X. Diebold, Laura Liu and Kamil Yilmaz; University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Federal Reserve Board, Washington; and Koç University, Istanbul

Perspectives for Europe

Invited Lecture

The Euro: Far from perfect but not doomed, Charles Wyplosz, Graduate Institute, Geneva and CEPR, London

European Union, Pavlos Karadeloglou, European Central Bank, Frankfurt

Topics in macroeconomic modeling and forecasting

The World Bank’s customizable stand-alone modelling interface: making forecasting easy(ier),, Andrew Burns, The World Bank, Washington

What to do when effective exchange rates cannot be calculated for developing countries? PANIC?, David Neto, UNCTAD, Geneva

Pass-through of gas taxes, Robert Kaufmann, Boston University

Thursday, 5 October 2017

Topics in macroeconomic modelling and policy analysis

Women's participation in the labour market around the world: trade-off between preferences, gender norms and socio-economic constraints, Stefan Kuehn, ILO , Geneva

Structural and quasi-accounting models: Which is best and can they work together? Jean Louis Brillet, INSEE, Paris

Long-term changes in industry structure: Effects on trade, real wage growth and labour share of income, John Perkins, National Institute of Economic and Industry Research, Melbourne

Regional Outlook (cont.) : Asia

Japan, Yasuhisa Yamamoto, UN-DESA, New York

East and South Asia, Vatcharin Sirimaneetham, UN-ESCAP, Bangkok

Western Asia, Seung-Jin Baek, UN-ESCWA, Beirut

Africa, Adam Elhiraika, UN-ECA, Addis Ababa

Latin America (via video link) Daniel Titelman, UN-ECLAC, Santiago

CIS, Jose Palacin, UN-ECE, Geneva

Growth and productivity issues

Entrepreneurship, investment, employment and economic growth, Hilary Nwokeabia, UNCTAD, Geneva [Contact author for further information]

Weak global productivity growth in an environment of rapid technological progress, Ingo Pitterle, UN-DESA, New York



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